Dayton v. Kennedy

Returning Senator Mark Dayton to the Ranks of the Idle Rich in 2006

11/29/2004

Larry Jacobs On Realignment

Just three weeks ago Dayton v. Kennedy documented the Humphrey Institute's Larry Jacobs' sloppy scholarship regarding the results of November 2nd. For our newer reader's edification, Jacobs made the easily refutable claim that, "Sen. John Kerry held nearly all of the states that voted for Al Gore in 2000 and did so by greater margins, as we saw in Minnesota but also in California, Massachusetts and others."

Some quick fact checking revealed that Jacobs was technically correct in Minnesota (although the President increased his share of the vote from 45.50% to 47.62% here) but was demonstrably wrong in California and Massachusetts.

So Dayton v. Kennedy found it curious that the Washington Post went back to the well and asked Jacobs his thoughts on a possible Republican realignment. Said Jacobs: "I'm not seeing that enduring majority." DvK: How could he? Garbage in, garbage out...

Meanwhile, as The Economist noted, "There was an incremental shift in America's ideological make-up. In 2000, half the voters described themselves as moderates and 29% as conservative. This time, the share of self-described moderates fell to 45%, and that of conservatives rose to 33%. In other words, America took another small step to the right."


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